Unit 7 Key (Odd)

Review Questions

  1. dependent samples, matched samples, matched pairs
  2. matching , sequential samples, cross-over trials, "before/after" designs 
  3. There are no natural pairings in independent samples. Independent samples represent separate group.
  4. µd
  5. False. The confidence seeks to capture population mean difference µd (not sample mean difference x-bard)
  6. II
  7. 0.50
  8. ... retain an incorrect null hypothesis.

7.l Placebo effect in Parkinson's disease patients. ...Test the difference for significance. [Understand all steps, not just the conclusion.]

7.3 Oral contraceptive use and blood pressure

(A) Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the mean change in systolic blood pressure. SE = 2.6 / 30 = 0.475; 95% CI for µd =  1.4 ± (2.05)(0.475) = 1.4 ± 1.0 = (0.4 to 2.4)
(B) From information provided, can you determine the effect of this formulation in individuals? [Brief narrative response.] The confidence interval tells you nothing about the effect in individuals. It tells you only about the population mean. However, you could use the information about the mean and standard deviation provided in the question combined with Chebychev's principal to say that 75% of the individuals had a change between 1.4 ± 2(2.6) = 1.4 ± 5.2 = -3.8 to 6.6.  

7.Water fluoridation 

(A) Calculate the changes ...[and]... construct a stemplot of these differences ... interpret the stemplot.  Below.

DELTA = AFTER  - BEFORE. Positive values represent an increase in the cavity-free rates.

CITY  BEFORE AFTER  DELTA 
----  ------- ----- -----
  1    18.2  49.2   31.0
  2    21.9  30.0    8.1
  3     5.2  16.0   10.8
  4    20.4  47.8   27.4
  5     2.8   3.4    0.6
  6    21.0  16.8   -4.2
  7    11.3  10.7   -0.6
  8     6.1   5.7   -0.4
  9    25.0  23.0   -2.0
 10    13.0  17.0    4.0
 11    76.0  79.0    3.0
 12    59.0  66.0    7.0
 13    25.6  46.8   21.2
 14    50.4  84.9   34.5
 15    41.2  65.2   24.0
 16    21.0  52.0   31.0

Stemplot

-0|0024
 0|03478
 1|0
 2|147
 3|114
×10 (change per 100 children) 

Location: median is 7.5 (underlined)
Spread: -4 to +34 
Shape: distribution may(?) be bimodal; no apparent outliers.

(B) What percentage of cities showed an improvement in their cavity-free rate? Twelve (12) of the 16 cities (75%) show an increase in cavity-free rates.
(C)
Estimate the mean change in the cavity-free rate in all similar cities with 95% confidence. SEd = 13.62 / 16 = 3.405, df  = 16 - 1 = 15, 95% CI for µd = 12.21 ± (2.131)(3.405) = 4.95 to 19.47.

7.7 Salivary cotinine 

6|9
5|
4|19
3|09
2|
1|59
x10 (decline in cotinine) 

The median decline was 39. Data spread from 15 to 69. All observations showed a decline. The data set is too small to make definitive statements about shape.

7.9  Benign prostate hyperplasia

(A) DELT_QoL = QoL_3MO - QOL_BASE = {1, 3, 2, 1, 3, 4, 2, -1, 0, 2}. Positive  scores reflect an improvement:.

 4|0
 3|00
 2|000
 1|00
 0|
-0|0
-1|0
×1

(B) Hypothesis test

7.11 NASA experiment Notice the large spread and two outliers (one high and one low).

-7|4
-6|
-5|
-4|9
-3|7
-2|5
-1|97654443
-0|865421
 0|001356788
 1|0114477
 2|123569
 3|3
 4|
 5|
 6|
 7|
 8|5
×1000