Unit 17 Grading Key

Assigned 4/7; due 4/14; returned 4/21. Point items (random sample) shown in bold. There are 2 free points.

(17.2) Data do not support the hypothesis that cell phone use causes intracranial tumors
Explanation: The two primary odds ratios from the studies are 1.0. The other reported odds ratios are either below 1 or not significantly above 1.  

(17.4) BD2 

(A) Cross-tabulated data in SPSS -- distributed via WebCT
(B) Calculate the odds ratio and its 95% confidence interval. 
y^ = 1.650
lny^ = 0.5011; selny^ = 0.05587; 95% CI for lny = 0.5011 � (1.96)(0.05587) = (0.3916, 0.6106)
95% CI for y = e(0.3916, 0.6106) = (1.48, 1.84). Interpretation should address the parameter.

(C) Test of H0: y  = 1. Show all work.
Yates' continuity corrected chi-square test
c2Yates'    =  (|932 - 767|-0.5)2 / 767    +  (602 - 767|-0.5)2 / 767  +
              (|4994 -
5159|-0.5)2 / 5159 + (|5324 - 5159|-0.5)2 / 5159
           =             35.281         +      35.281
                         5.245          +       5.245
           = 81.052

df = 1; c = sqrt(81.092) = 9.00; p = off chart (less than .00001)

SPSS output was distributed via WebCT.

(17.8) BD1
y^1 = (75)(386) / (280)(29) = 3.57
y^2 = (51)(386) / (87)(29) = 7.80
y^3 = (45)(386) / (22)(29) = 27.23

Yes, there is evidence of a dose-response relation between alcohol consumption and esophageal cancer risk.

(17.14) y^ = 6.1431; ln(y^) = 1.815; se lny^ = 0.3794; 95% CI for lny = 1.815 � (1.96)(0.1794) = 1.815  � 0.7436 = (1.071, 2.559)
95% CI for OR = (2.92, 12.92); Chi-sqMcN, corrected = 24.50, df = 1; Chi = 4.95; p < .0000001
Interpretation: Data show a significant odds ratio of 6.14 (conjugated estrogen use associated with 6-fold risk of cervical cancer). The confidence interval places the odds ratio parameter between 2.9 and 12.9.