Experimental WRF-SFIRE forecasts
Below are experimental fire and smoke forecasts produced using the WRFx system.
The core component is WRF-SFIRE which is a coupled fire-atmosphere model based on WRF (Weather Research
Forecasting System) and SFIRE fire spread model.
Currently, the WRFx system is running 48h forecasts twice a day at 03z (8 am PDT) and 15z (8 pm PDT). The nominal start times of the simulations are 00z and 12z, and each forecast starts from a 2-hour spin-up. The runs are processed on the fly and uploaded to the web. The fire state is initialized using the last IR fire perimeters and the most recent satellite fire detections using data from the WIRC GIS portal. A carry over tracer intialization is used for smoke. The fuel moisture is initialized using the fuel moisture data assimilation system collecting hourly fuel moisture observations.
Here are the links to the current active forecats:
Mosquito Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Cedar Creek Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Here are the links to the discontinued forecasts:
Fairview Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Radford Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Mountain Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Mill Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Rum Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Route Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Four Corners Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
McKinney Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
SRF Complex Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Oak Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Washburn Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Marshall Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Alisal Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Windy Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
KNP Complex Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecas
McCash Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Dixie Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast
Caldor Fire: Most recent forecast Previous forecast